Question 1

What is the “Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed modelI ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($47.87K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 59 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 78.7% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 12, 4:01 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-nvidia-have-a-1-ai-model-this-year) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
MyLige	Yes	1.11K	0.1%	$1.11K
acal	Yes	1.03K	0.5%	$1.5K

Trader	Current holding value
Aaac-368	$5.78
mjjkre34	$3.19
sdf2r2qwe	$2.45
yuxing	$2.13
555opo	$1.91
tt78	$1.91
gohui	$1.31
Lpongd	$1.2
bigmaner	$1.08
lordodin	$1.08
gelonty	$1.06
Alvian	$1.06

Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?

Questions about this market