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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 250 | $0.999 | $249.75 | Nov 2, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 252.25 |
| $0.999 |
| $252 |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 252.5 | $0.997 | $251.74 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 252.51 | $0.998 | $252 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
XRP Up or Down on September 22?Down | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo visit another country first?No | buy | 3.34 | $0.898 | $3 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Trump ends taxes on tips before August?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?No | sell | 3.4 | $0.999 | $3.4 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.958 | $2 | Mar 24, 2025 |
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 24, 2025 |
Will PMF or Die build a $1m business in 90 days?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Mar 24, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.922 | $1 | Mar 24, 2025 |
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Mar 24, 2025 |
Will Sydney Sweeney break up with her fiancé before April?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.993 | $2.11 | Mar 24, 2025 |
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.990 | $1.1 | Mar 24, 2025 |
X allowed to operate in China before May?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.987 | $1.02 | Mar 24, 2025 |
Will Sydney Sweeney break up with her fiancé before April?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin hit $90,000 by Wednesday?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Will there be between 90k and 105k border encounters in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
TikTok on App Store again before February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
RedNote removed from App Store in January?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.898 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
GPT-5 released in 2024?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Doge ETF approved in 2024?No | sell | 5 | $0.966 | $4.83 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Doge ETF approved in 2024?No | buy | 19.73 | $0.980 | $19.34 | Oct 19, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2024 meeting?No | sell | 200.6 | $0.993 | $199.15 | Jul 28, 2024 |
Will France win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Jul 27, 2024 |
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 July meeting?Yes | buy | 10.46 | $0.956 | $10 | Jul 27, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2024 meeting?No | buy | 200.6 | $0.997 | $200 | Jul 27, 2024 |