Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 1 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 247 daily closes on record from 1 May 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 26% on 2 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 26% on 2 May 2025. $74.66K traded over the market's life.
102 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 247 points, 1 May 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2025 | 8.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nukem23f | Yes | 1.29K |
| ELE4321 | Yes | 999.98 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 586 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between April 30, 2025 and December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET, the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) exceeds the market capitalization of the largest publicly traded company in the world. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Market cap values for both BTC and companies will be taken directly from Google Finance. If Google Finance is unavailable, a consensus of credible financial data providers will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-more-valuable-than-any-company-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| acal | Yes | 583.84 |
| 3asef | Yes | 528.06 |
| marok | Yes | 499.97 |
| Matheos | Yes | 499.93 |
| tweek | Yes | 467.33 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 225.92 |
| Anjun | Yes | 225.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
