Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 88.4%. Yes opened at 84% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 98.9% on 5 Apr 2025 and the low 33.9% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 65.4% on 2 Aug 2025. $214.92K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 233 points · 26 Feb 2025 – 16 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | 84.0% |
| 16 Oct 2025 | 88.4% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between February 24 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| exothetajunkie | No | 554.2 |
| Norgay | No | 330.23 |
| Akck1 | No | 320 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 128 |
| ghvgh | No | 100 |
| fullmiketilt | No | 99.96 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 41 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
