Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 25?Yes | buy | 460.01 | $0.002 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 2.13 |
| $0.470 |
| $1 |
| Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on September 19?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 19?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 19?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | sell | 318.68 | $0.150 | $47.8 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Oracle buy TikTok?No | sell | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.210 | $50 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by May 31?Yes | buy | 232.31 | $0.043 | $10 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by May 31?Yes | buy | 855.85 | $0.117 | $100 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 458.21 | $0.218 | $100 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.210 | $150 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.450 | $100 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.47K | $0.020 | $50 | Mar 21, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?Yes | buy | 26.1 | $0.766 | $20 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 870.14 | $0.069 | $60 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 428 | $0.023 | $10 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 249.76 | $0.200 | $50 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?Yes | buy | 283.41 | $0.706 | $200 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April?Yes | buy | 45.21 | $0.044 | $2 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 356.17 | $0.028 | $10 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April?Yes | buy | 857.14 | $0.056 | $48 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 2.96K | $0.002 | $5 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 389.56 | $0.026 | $10 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?Yes | buy | 29.28 | $0.683 | $20 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?Yes | buy | 246.34 | $0.406 | $100 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | sell | 1.07K | $0.890 | $955.34 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.680 | $100 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Ye banned on X in February?Yes | sell | 293.83 | $0.051 | $14.94 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Ye banned on X in February?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Ye banned on X in February?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Ye banned on X in February?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Ye banned on X in February?Yes | buy | 91.82 | $0.218 | $20 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.110 | $13.75 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.230 | $14.95 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Jeffrey Randall Allen (Player 831) win the Beast Games?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Will Jeffrey Randall Allen (Player 831) win the Beast Games?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Feb 3, 2025 |