Analytics
Will November 2026 Core CPI YoY be 2.9%?
economyActive
Closes Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Yes
36.0%
No
64.0%
Yes costs 36¢No costs 64¢
24h Volume
$148
Total volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$1.5K
Closes
Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 36%, up 6.5 points from 29.5% when the market opened on 12 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 34.5% on 14 Nov 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 12 Nov 2026. The current quote, 36%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 34.5% on 14 Nov 2026.
2.9% is the favourite of the 10 outcomes in “Core CPI YoY - November 2026”, ahead of 3.0% at 33.5%.
Across the latest 70 trades, $448.47 bought Yes and $789.93 bought No.
Ten wallets hold 88.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | 29.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 34.5% |
All outcomes
Core CPI YoY - November 2026
- 12.9%This market$3.19K traded36.0%
- 23.0%$1.43K traded33.5%
- 32.8%
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 17735977 | Yes | 700 |
| grinder1011 | No | 353.67 |
| 7418399 | Yes | 350 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-yoy-november-2026
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports