Analytics
Will November 2026 Core CPI YoY be 3.2% or higher?
economyActive
Closes Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Yes
0.6%
No
99.5%
Yes costs 0.55¢No costs 99.45¢
24h Volume
$355
Total volume
$355
Liquidity
$11.3K
Closes
Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 0.5%, down 7.2 points from 7.8% when the market opened on 12 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 7.8% on 12 Nov 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 14 Nov 2026. The current quote, 0.5%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 0.6% on 14 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.1 points down, to 0.7% on 13 Nov 2026.
≥3.2% ranks tenth of the 10 outcomes in “Core CPI YoY - November 2026”. 2.9% leads at 36%; 3.0% is at 33.5%.
Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | 7.8% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 0.6% |
All outcomes
Core CPI YoY - November 2026
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 187.95 |
| hartree6 | Yes | 140 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 127.06 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-yoy-november-2026
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports