Will November 2026 Core CPI YoY be 2.8%?

economyActive

Closes Dec 10, 2026 UTC

Yes

18.5%

81.5%

Yes costs 18.5¢No costs 81.5¢

24h Volume

$939

Total volume

$939

Liquidity

$1.6K

Closes

Dec 10, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Yes is at 18.5%, up 3 points from 15.5% when the market opened on 12 Nov 2026.

Across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 18.5% on 14 Nov 2026 and the lowest 14% on 13 Nov 2026.

2.8% ranks third of the 10 outcomes in “Core CPI YoY - November 2026”. 2.9% leads at 36%; 3.0% is at 33.5%.

The best bid and the best ask are 3.0% apart, so read the price as a range. Across the latest 46 trades, $30.92 bought Yes and $596.81 bought No.

Ten wallets hold 84.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.

Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC

Trade

Pays $1 a share if Yes wins$938.72 24h vol

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 10%–25%

All outcomes

Largest holders

The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.

Rules

Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026.

Dates

Topic room

Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
Weekly jobless claims between reports