Analytics
Will November 2026 Core CPI YoY be 3.1%?
economyActive
Closes Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Yes
7.5%
No
92.5%
Yes costs 7.5¢No costs 92.5¢
24h Volume
$223
Total volume
$223
Liquidity
$1.3K
Closes
Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 7.5%, about where the market opened on 12 Nov 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 10% on 13 Nov 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 14 Nov 2026.
3.1% ranks fourth of the 10 outcomes in “Core CPI YoY - November 2026”. 2.9% leads at 36%; 3.0% is at 33.5%.
The best bid and the best ask are 11.0% apart, so read the price as a range.
Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | 8.0% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 7.5% |
All outcomes
Core CPI YoY - November 2026
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 187.95 |
| moon-k58-lad | Yes | 55 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 54.47 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-yoy-november-2026
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports