Analytics
Will November 2026 Core CPI YoY be 2.7%?
economyActive
Closes Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Yes
6.5%
No
93.5%
Yes costs 6.5¢No costs 93.5¢
24h Volume
$772
Total volume
$772
Liquidity
$1.7K
Closes
Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 6.5%, down 8.5 points from 15% when the market opened on 12 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 15% on 12 Nov 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 14 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 7% on 13 Nov 2026.
2.7% ranks sixth of the 10 outcomes in “Core CPI YoY - November 2026”. 2.9% leads at 36%; 3.0% is at 33.5%.
The best bid and the best ask are 7.0% apart, so read the price as a range. Across the latest 22 trades, $18.88 bought Yes and $471.66 bought No.
Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | 15.0% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 6.5% |
All outcomes
Core CPI YoY - November 2026
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 187.95 |
| grinder1011 | No | 110 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 68.47 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-yoy-november-2026
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports