Analytics
Will November 2026 Core CPI YoY be 3.0%?
economyActive
Closes Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Yes
33.5%
No
66.5%
Yes costs 33.5¢No costs 66.5¢
24h Volume
$40
Total volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$1.1K
Closes
Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 33.5%, up 14 points from 19.5% when the market opened on 12 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 33.5% on 14 Nov 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 12 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 33.5% on 14 Nov 2026.
3.0% ranks second of the 10 outcomes in “Core CPI YoY - November 2026”. 2.9% leads at 36%; 2.8% is at 18.5%.
The best bid and the best ask are 3.0% apart, so read the price as a range. Across the latest 41 trades, $174.32 bought Yes and $471.34 bought No.
Ten wallets hold 88.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 15%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | 19.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 33.5% |
All outcomes
Core CPI YoY - November 2026
- 12.9%$3.19K traded36.0%
- 23.0%This market$1.43K traded33.5%
- 32.8%
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Antony82 | No | 452.6 |
| 7418399 | Yes | 296.57 |
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 187.95 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-yoy-november-2026
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports