Analytics
Will November 2026 Core CPI MoM be 0.2%?
economyActive
Closes Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Yes
42.0%
No
58.0%
Yes costs 42¢No costs 58¢
24h Volume
$27
Total volume
$581
Liquidity
$2.9K
Closes
Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 42%, up 7 points from 35% when the market opened on 12 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 43.5% on 13 Nov 2026 and the lowest 35% on 12 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 43.5% on 13 Nov 2026.
0.2% is the favourite of the 7 outcomes in “Core CPI MoM - November 2026”, ahead of 0.3% at 35.5%.
Across the latest 35 trades, $147.42 bought Yes and $61.68 bought No.
Ten wallets hold 83.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 30%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | 35.0% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 42.0% |
All outcomes
Core CPI MoM - November 2026
- 10.2%This market$580.64 traded42.0%
- 20.3%$348.55 traded35.5%
- 3≤0.1%
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| grinder1011 | Yes | 180.59 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 53.83 |
| PPMT | No | 50 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-mom-november-2026
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports