Analytics
Will November 2026 Core CPI MoM be 0.7% or higher?
economyActive
Closes Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Yes
1.2%
No
98.8%
Yes costs 1.2¢No costs 98.8¢
24h Volume
$72
Total volume
$72
Liquidity
$5.8K
Closes
Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 1.2%, down 4.3 points from 5.5% when the market opened on 12 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 5.5% on 12 Nov 2026 and the lowest 2.3% on 13 Nov 2026. The current quote, 1.2%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 3.1% on 14 Nov 2026.
0.7%+ ranks seventh of the 7 outcomes in “Core CPI MoM - November 2026”. 0.2% leads at 42%; 0.3% is at 35.5%.
Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | 5.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 3.1% |
All outcomes
Core CPI MoM - November 2026
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hartree6 | Yes | 40 |
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 29.53 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-mom-november-2026
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports