Analytics
Will November 2026 Core CPI MoM be 0.5%?
economyActive
Closes Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Yes
3.6%
No
96.3%
Yes costs 3.65¢No costs 96.35¢
24h Volume
$10
Total volume
$62
Liquidity
$2.0K
Closes
Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 3.6%, down 8.4 points from 12.1% when the market opened on 12 Nov 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 12.1% on 12 Nov 2026 and the lowest 1.9% on 14 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.8 points down, to 2.3% on 13 Nov 2026.
0.5% ranks fifth of the 7 outcomes in “Core CPI MoM - November 2026”. 0.2% leads at 42%; 0.3% is at 35.5%.
The best bid and the best ask are 5.1% apart, so read the price as a range.
Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | 12.1% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 3.6% |
All outcomes
Core CPI MoM - November 2026
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 29.53 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 27 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-mom-november-2026
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports