Analytics
Will November 2026 Core CPI MoM be 0.3%?
economyActive
Closes Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Yes
35.5%
No
64.5%
Yes costs 35.5¢No costs 64.5¢
24h Volume
$349
Total volume
$349
Liquidity
$2.9K
Closes
Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 35.5%, up 6 points from 29.5% when the market opened on 12 Nov 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 35.5% on 14 Nov 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 12 Nov 2026.
0.3% ranks second of the 7 outcomes in “Core CPI MoM - November 2026”. 0.2% leads at 42%; ≤0.1% is at 11.5%.
The best bid and the best ask are 3.0% apart, so read the price as a range. Across the latest 20 trades, $44.75 bought Yes and $66.13 bought No.
Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | 29.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 35.5% |
All outcomes
Core CPI MoM - November 2026
- 10.2%$580.64 traded42.0%
- 20.3%This market$348.55 traded35.5%
- 3≤0.1%
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| grinder1011 | Yes | 42.5 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 31.6 |
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 29.53 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-mom-november-2026
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports