Analytics
Will November 2026 Core CPI MoM be 0.4%?
economyActive
Closes Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Yes
11.0%
No
89.0%
Yes costs 11¢No costs 89¢
24h Volume
$102
Total volume
$256
Liquidity
$2.6K
Closes
Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 11%, down 3.5 points from 14.5% when the market opened on 12 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the highest close was 14.5% on 12 Nov 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 13 Nov 2026. The current quote, 11%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 14.5% on 14 Nov 2026.
0.4% ranks fourth of the 7 outcomes in “Core CPI MoM - November 2026”. 0.2% leads at 42%; 0.3% is at 35.5%.
The best bid and the best ask are 4.0% apart, so read the price as a range.
Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:25 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 5%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | 14.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 14.5% |
All outcomes
Core CPI MoM - November 2026
Largest holders
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-mom-november-2026
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports