Question 1

What is the “Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will MagicBlock launch a token by ___?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

Right now Yes trades at 38.0¢ and No at 62.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 38.0% for Yes and 62.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MagicBlock officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by MagicBlock will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($19.81K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($472.06) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 20 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 95.4% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 14, 10:54 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-magicblock-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
nastynian	Yes	597.29	66.8%	$3.46K	Aug 7, 4:44 PM
Poivre	No	448.88	24.7%	$448.88	Jun 4, 4:33 PM

Trader	Current holding value
Poivre	$278.31
nastynian	$226.97
Anjun	$206.46
taobao513	$79.82
Piroop	$54.72
pppnn	$30.94
qqqmmmccc	$27.28
AJSV	$25.8
Mushy-Gray	$22.94
Dr.PNL	$22.04
nahte10	$18.6
pootytherewardfarmer	$12.9

Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Will MagicBlock launch a token by ___?

Questions about this market