Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | Yes | 40 | $0.650 | $35.8 | +$9.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | sell | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | 15d ago |
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.530 |
| $19.54 |
| +$8.94 |
 Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.630 | $17.25 | -$1.65 |
 Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? | Yes | 20 | $0.460 | $14.9 | +$5.7 |
 Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 30 | $0.590 | $14.25 | -$3.45 |
 Will THUNDER TALK GAMING make a roster change by December? | No | 20 | $0.570 | $11.9 | +$0.5 |
 Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by June 30, 2027? | No | 20 | $0.570 | $11.5 | +$0.1 |
 Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.206 | $11.5 | +$1.2 |
 Will TOP ESPORTS Qualify for Worlds 2026? | No | 20 | $0.430 | $10 | +$1.4 |
 Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 20 | $0.230 | $9.9 | +$5.3 |
 Tori FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 29.68 | $0.470 | $9.79 | -$4.16 |
 MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 14.04 | $0.690 | $9.69 | $0 |
 Ethereum tapered issuance burn implemented by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 20 | $0.450 | $9.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.430 | $8.9 | +$0.3 |
 Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? | Yes | 20 | $0.566 | $6.94 | -$4.38 |
 Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries? | No | 20 | $0.490 | $6.5 | -$3.3 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.400 | $6.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 20 | $0.218 | $6.39 | +$2.03 |
 TownSquare FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 23 | $0.190 | $5.98 | +$1.61 |
 Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2028? | Yes | 20 | $0.420 | $5.9 | -$2.5 |
 Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | Yes | 20 | $0.300 | $5.7 | -$0.3 |
 Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? | Yes | 8.9 | $0.510 | $5.65 | +$1.11 |
 Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | Yes | 10.4 | $0.530 | $5.62 | +$0.1 |
| Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Yes | 20 | $0.420 | $5.6 | -$2.8 |
| Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | Yes | 20 | $0.490 | $5.5 | -$4.3 |
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?Yes| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.836 |
| $16.71 |
| 15d ago |
 Will "Don't Look Down" - Rod Wave first week album sales be between 85k and 105k?No | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | 15d ago |
 Will the season series between the Bengals and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | sell | 40 | $0.580 | $23.2 | 21d ago |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.538 | $10.76 | 25d ago |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 25d ago |
| Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | 25d ago |
 Will there be 4-5 Rampages at The International 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 25d ago |
 Will Waymo launch in Chicago, IL by December 31 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | 25d ago |
| Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?No | sell | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | 25d ago |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 25d ago |
 Will there be at least 2750 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | 25d ago |
 Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.735 | $12.25 | 26d ago |
| Will Waymo launch in Baltimore, MD by December 31 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | 26d ago |
 Will Movsar Evloev fight Arnold Allen next?Yes | sell | 20.1 | $0.360 | $7.24 | 27d ago |
 Will Brendan Allen fight Joe Pyfer next?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | 27d ago |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Joe Pyfer next?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.394 | $9.85 | 28d ago |
 Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | sell | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | 29d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown | sell | 0.55 | $0.390 | $0.21 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETUp | sell | 0.55 | $0.600 | $0.33 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | sell | 74.99 | $0.996 | $74.69 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | sell | 150 | $0.001 | $0.15 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | sell | 44.11 | $0.960 | $42.35 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 5.2 | $0.250 | $1.3 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETDown | sell | 57.86 | $0.782 | $45.23 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown | sell | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp | sell | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Brice Barnes be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.020 | $0.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.260 | $0.07 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.48 | $0.010 | $0.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.38 | $0.040 | $0.14 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Petey LaSalla win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.020 | $0.02 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | sell | 0.72 | $0.430 | $0.31 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Estefanía Mercado Asencio win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Yes | sell | 12.97 | $0.010 | $0.13 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?Yes | sell | 1.34 | $0.290 | $0.39 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 2.99 | $0.110 | $0.33 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.270 | $0.68 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Yes | sell | 1.64 | $0.390 | $0.64 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?No | sell | 1.87 | $0.450 | $0.84 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes | sell | 2.42 | $0.380 | $0.92 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.940 | $1.05 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 3.38 | $0.340 | $1.15 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?No | sell | 3.02 | $0.460 | $1.39 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?Yes | sell | 4.78 | $0.270 | $1.29 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 3.93 | $0.410 | $1.61 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.490 | $1.58 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?No | sell | 2.68 | $0.570 | $1.53 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Kirk Cousins be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?Yes | sell | 2.19 | $0.870 | $1.91 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the Texas Rangers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 2.72 | $0.850 | $2.31 | Aug 10, 2026 |