What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 31.5¢ and No at 68.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 31.5% for Yes and 68.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MagicBlock officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by MagicBlock will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($21.19K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($649.31) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 23 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 92.8% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 1, 7:51 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-magicblock-launch-a-token-by) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026? Odds

Market referencewill-magicblock-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026Updated 29m ago

cryptoActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTCcryptomagicblock

Yes

31.5%

68.5%

Buy Yes 31.5¢Buy No 68.5¢

24h Volume

$21.2K

Liquidity

$649

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes price

31.5¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

31.5%

68.5%

24h volume

$21.19K

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 31.5¢

Open in terminal$21.19K 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

15m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

3.0%

Observed

29m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

31.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

93%

Yes / No shares

976.3 / 974.08

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

338

Wallets

114

Loaded notional

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
wheatherman	buy	No	68.0%	6.63	Sep 25, 4:44 PM UTC
leo1213	buy	No

Will MagicBlock launch a token by ___?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will MagicBlock launch a token by ___?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 31.5¢ and No at 68.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 31.5% for Yes and 68.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if MagicBlock officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by MagicBlock will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($21.19K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($649.31) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

wheatherman

buy

68.0%

6.63

Sep 25, 4:44 PM UTC

leo1213

buy