Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 0.93 | $0.210 | $0.63 | +$0.44 |
 MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.453 | $0.45 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 0.75 |
| $0.250 |
| $0.59 |
| +$0.41 |
 Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026? | No | 0.84 | $0.240 | $0.57 | +$0.37 |
 Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 0.84 | $0.150 | $0.56 | +$0.43 |
 Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B? | No | 0.5 | $0.173 | $0.4 | +$0.31 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | No | 0.41 | $0.288 | $0.39 | +$0.27 |
 Will RISE launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.8 | $0.100 | $0.34 | +$0.26 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 0.38 | $0.240 | $0.32 | +$0.23 |
 QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 0.75 | $0.240 | $0.3 | +$0.12 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 1 | $0.260 | $0.29 | +$0.03 |
 Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.54 | $0.261 | $0.28 | +$0.14 |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? | Yes | 0.75 | $0.250 | $0.27 | +$0.08 |
 Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 0.8 | $0.181 | $0.24 | +$0.1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 0.42 | $0.279 | $0.23 | +$0.11 |
 Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 0.69 | $0.200 | $0.21 | +$0.08 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 0.94 | $0.296 | $0.2 | -$0.07 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.96 | $0.171 | $0.2 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? | Yes | 0.76 | $0.140 | $0.16 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 0.9 | $0.140 | $0.15 | +$0.02 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Idaho in 2026? | No | 0.23 | $0.280 | $0.15 | +$0.08 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 0.87 | $0.227 | $0.15 | -$0.05 |
 Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 0.57 | $0.230 | $0.15 | +$0.01 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | No | 0.4 | $0.256 | $0.14 | +$0.03 |
 Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 0.67 | $0.240 | $0.13 | -$0.03 |
 Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T? | Yes | 1 | $0.217 | $0.13 | -$0.09 |
| sell |
| 1 |
| $0.110 |
| $0.11 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.330 | $0.33 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.280 | $0.28 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?No | sell | 1 | $0.070 | $0.07 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Ledger IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.090 | $0.09 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?No | sell | 1 | $0.090 | $0.09 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.943 | $0.94 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.038 | $0.04 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.045 | $0.05 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.007 | $0.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.630 | $0.64 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.021 | $0.02 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.045 | $0.05 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.001 | $0 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Clémentine Autain be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.026 | $0.03 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Plasma reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.043 | $0.04 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Ben Rice lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.008 | $0.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.020 | $0.02 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.280 | $0.3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.150 | $0.16 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?Sinner | sell | 1.1 | $0.650 | $0.72 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.110 | $0.12 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Joe Willis win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.002 | $0 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.160 | $0.18 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.210 | $0.23 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.029 | $0.03 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.440 | $0.49 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.410 | $0.46 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.064 | $0.07 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.430 | $0.49 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.110 | $0.12 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 1.15 | $0.470 | $0.54 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.15 | $0.217 | $0.25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.063 | $0.07 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.029 | $0.03 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Maria Brewer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?Yes | sell | 1.18 | $0.052 | $0.06 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.001 | $0 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.080 | $0.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.74%?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.020 | $0.02 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Rafael Leao join Liverpool?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.030 | $0.04 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.015 | $0.02 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.250 | $0.3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.610 | $0.73 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MD-05 House seat?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.059 | $0.07 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.040 | $0.05 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.22 | $0.140 | $0.17 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.340 | $0.42 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.580 | $0.71 | Aug 5, 2026 |