Analytics
Yes is at 43.5%, down 6.5 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 116 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 72% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 54%; a month before, 64.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 62% on 19 Sep 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Will OnRe launch a token by ___?”.
$248.99 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.54K since listing. The order book holds $538.01, with a 11.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 143 trades, $894.82 bought Yes and $819.61 bought No.
The largest Yes position is hithitfar with 190 shares; the largest No position is paghool with 464. Ten wallets hold 97.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Oct 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 116 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 43.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| paghool | No | 463.98 |
| hithitfar | Yes | 189.98 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 116.22 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OnRe officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by OnRe will qualify. Stablecoins, yield-bearing or collateralized stable assets (such as ONyc-type products), memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from OnRe (https://x.com/onrefinance), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-onre-launch-a-token-by
| yooo23782378 |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 60.11 |
| cigarettes | No | 33.29 |
| predictdogepepewif | Yes | 30 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 26 |
| edge999 | Yes | 22.07 |
| Malganis | No | 17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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