Analytics
Yes is at 63.8%, up 46 points from 17.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 333 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 84.2% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 5.1% on 26 Dec 2025. A week before that last close Yes was at 69.5%; a month before, 77.7%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 40.5% on 27 Jul 2026.
1-100 is the favourite of the 8 outcomes in “How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?”, ahead of 1k-2.5k at 19.4%.
$19.51K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.3K, with a 22.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.2K bought Yes and $1.12K bought No.
The largest Yes position is FortunatelyFestive with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.1K. Ten wallets hold 78.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 333 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 17.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 63.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.07K |
| yyyyyyy | No | 2.04K |
| FortunatelyFestive | Yes | 1.19K |
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2026
| pppp2a | Yes | 993.25 |
| KennyM | Yes | 776.02 |
| OMAST | Yes | 531.13 |
| troim | No | 499.52 |
| Kevindoto | Yes | 433.25 |
| DFC | Yes | 222.12 |
| Second-Hand-Presume | Yes | 165 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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