Analytics
Yes is at 23%, down 27 points from 50% when the market opened on 25 Dec 2025.
The high was 82.5% on 5 Jul 2026 and the low 23% on 17 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 39%; a month ago, 31%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 71% on 27 Dec 2025.
It is one of 17 markets under “Which artists will release new albums in 2026?”.
$5 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.81K since listing. The order book holds $489.1, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 222 trades, $623.68 bought Yes and $1.69K bought No.
The largest Yes position is PhilHawesLover with 227 shares; the largest No position is moon-k58-lad with 181. Ten wallets hold 71.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 76 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 17, 3:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 274 points, 25 Dec 2025 – 17 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 23.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PhilHawesLover | Yes | 227.28 |
| AJSV | Yes | 206.93 |
| moon-k58-lad | No | 181 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including recordings of live events) by the resolution date. Album releases including non-original tracks such as live-versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums, or similar non original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2026
5 more markets, none above 15.5%.
| gummy-usb |
| Yes |
| 125 |
| peepeepooppoop | No | 74.44 |
| ABC12345654321 | No | 64.99 |
| cowcat | No | 61 |
| khanoftruth | No | 61 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 60 |
| test.saveliyb.test | No | 47.13 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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