Analytics
Yes is at 17%, down 33 points from 50% when the market opened on 22 Apr 2026.
The high was 60% on 25 May 2026 and the low 14.5% on 9 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 17.5%; a month ago, 25.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 49.5% on 18 Sep 2026.
It is one of 17 markets under “Which artists will release new albums in 2026?”.
$22.11 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $35.82, with a 16.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Numitus1994 with 22 shares; the largest No position is Solar Beacon D366 with 20.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 78 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 15, 6:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 177 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 15 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 17.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 22.11 |
| Solar Beacon D366 | No | 20 |
| MARV-1 | No | 1.11 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including recordings of live events) by the resolution date. Album releases including non-original tracks such as live-versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums, or similar non original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2026
4 more markets, none above 13.0%.
| lolzzzlol |
| No |
| 1 |
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