Analytics
Yes is at 30%, down 35 points from 65% when the market opened on 25 Dec 2025.
Across the 265 daily closes on record from 25 Dec 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (44 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 94% on 8 Feb 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 29.5%; a month before, 47.5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 41.5% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 17 markets under “Which artists will release new albums in 2026?”.
$8 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.83K since listing. The order book holds $702.81, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 356 trades, $1.79K bought Yes and $2.42K bought No.
The largest Yes position is cowcat with 412 shares; the largest No position is Manchild with 653. Ten wallets hold 64.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 265 points, 25 Dec 2025 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Dec 2025 | 65.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 30.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Manchild | No | 653.27 |
| cowcat | Yes | 411.54 |
| negativePNL | Yes | 300 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including recordings of live events) by the resolution date. Album releases including non-original tracks such as live-versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums, or similar non original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2026
5 more markets, none above 15.0%.
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 266.37 |
| Cornishon | Yes | 211.24 |
| bZk0Uo | No | 176.29 |
| macrosteaks | No | 154.22 |
| Sa1LaR | Yes | 122 |
| Gaditima | No | 115.39 |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | No | 109.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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