Analytics
Yes is at 18%, down 32 points from 50% when the market opened on 23 Mar 2026.
Across the 188 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68.5% on 29 Sep 2026 and the lowest 14% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 16%; a month before, 66%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 38.5% on 30 Sep 2026.
It is one of 17 markets under “Which artists will release new albums in 2026?”.
$40.1 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.05K since listing. The order book holds $223.24, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 94 trades, $138.28 bought Yes and $320.36 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 307 shares; the largest No position is Snoopy121 with 185. Ten wallets hold 92.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 23 Mar 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 18.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 306.5 |
| Snoopy121 | No | 185 |
| predictiondiablo | No | 61.7 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including recordings of live events) by the resolution date. Album releases including non-original tracks such as live-versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums, or similar non original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2026
5 more markets, none above 17.0%.
| peepeepooppoop |
| No |
| 20.76 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| DuneMentat | No | 20 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 16.99 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 16.36 |
| Haradwaith | No | 15 |
| Slow-Exhibit | No | 10.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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