Analytics
Yes is at 28.5%, down 21 points from 49% when the market opened on 30 Dec 2025.
The high was 60% on 14 May 2026 and the low 24% on 23 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 25.5%; a month ago, 27%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 58.5% on 26 May 2026.
It is one of 17 markets under “Which artists will release new albums in 2026?”.
$3.44K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $908.74, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 36 trades, $11.55 bought Yes and $153.1 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Jade Beacon E3EA with 26 shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 75.
Trading closes on 2 Jan 2027, 87 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 2:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 261 points · 30 Dec 2025 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 49.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 28.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AJSV | No | 75 |
| Lunar Orbit 35C6 | No | 33.66 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 26.05 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including recordings of live events) by the resolution date. Album releases including non-original tracks such as live-versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums, or similar non original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2026
5 more markets, none above 23.0%.
| LornaPredicts |
| Yes |
| 25 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 20 |
| yellowfinn | Yes | 20 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 20 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 14.34 |
| Stupendous-Donut | No | 5 |
| test.saveliyb.test | No | 5 |
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