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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | No | 16 | $0.880 | $14.72 | +$0.64 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | 5m ago |
 |
| No |
| 16.01 |
| $0.571 |
| $7.96 |
| -$1.18 |
 Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | No | 11.83 | $0.530 | $7.63 | +$1.36 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 10 | $0.650 | $7.15 | +$0.65 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 18.67 | $0.379 | $6.44 | -$0.64 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | No | 6 | $0.750 | $5.7 | +$1.2 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 6 | $0.871 | $5.21 | -$0.02 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 6 | $0.870 | $5.16 | -$0.06 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.825 | $4.99 | +$0.04 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 6.01 | $0.799 | $4.88 | +$0.08 |
 Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | No | 6 | $0.740 | $4.77 | +$0.33 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 6 | $0.758 | $4.56 | +$0.01 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.710 | $4.47 | +$0.21 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 6.01 | $0.690 | $4.11 | -$0.03 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 6 | $0.440 | $3.21 | +$0.57 |
 Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat? | Yes | 5 | $0.600 | $3.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will South Carolina have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | Yes | 6 | $0.510 | $3.09 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.490 | $3.03 | +$0.09 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 6 | $0.490 | $2.85 | -$0.09 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.450 | $2.61 | -$0.09 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.290 | $1.71 | -$0.03 |
 California voter ID referendum passes? | Yes | 6 | $0.390 | $1.71 | -$0.63 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 6.01 | $0.280 | $1.65 | -$0.03 |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 6 | $0.240 | $1.47 | +$0.03 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 5.75 | $0.280 | $1.41 | -$0.2 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.110 |
| $1.1 |
| 1h ago |
| Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?No | sell | 6 | $0.695 | $4.17 | 1h ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.280 | $1.68 | 2h ago |
| Will South Carolina have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.510 | $3.06 | 2h ago |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.690 | $4.14 | 3h ago |
 Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.190 | $1.33 | 4h ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.710 | $4.26 | 5h ago |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No | sell | 11 | $0.802 | $8.82 | 21h ago |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 36.01 | $0.310 | $11.16 | 21h ago |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?Yes | sell | 21.7 | $0.040 | $0.87 | 21h ago |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 22.17 | $0.052 | $1.15 | 21h ago |
| Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 21h ago |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.500 | $5.5 | 21h ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 9.27 | $0.110 | $1.02 | 21h ago |
| Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?No | buy | 6 | $0.600 | $3.6 | 23h ago |
 Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?No | sell | 6 | $0.700 | $4.2 | 1d ago |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.57 | $0.070 | $1.02 | 1d ago |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 14.46 | $0.120 | $1.74 | 1d ago |
 Blue wave in 2026?No | sell | 5.47 | $0.270 | $1.48 | 1d ago |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.8 | $0.150 | $1.02 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.7 | $0.047 | $1.02 | 2d ago |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.870 | $5.22 | 2d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | 2d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 14.59 | $0.020 | $0.29 | 2d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 9.27 | $0.110 | $1.02 | 3d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | 3d ago |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 22.17 | $0.046 | $1.02 | 3d ago |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 6.28 | $0.290 | $1.82 | 3d ago |
| Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 6 | $0.790 | $4.74 | 3d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.825 | $4.95 | 3d ago |
| Blue wave in 2026?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.210 | $1.15 | 4d ago |
| California voter ID referendum passes?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.390 | $2.34 | 4d ago |
| California voter ID referendum passes?No | sell | 16 | $0.610 | $9.76 | 4d ago |
 French election called by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.88 | $0.056 | $0.72 | 5d ago |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 13.4 | $0.352 | $4.72 | 5d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 5.75 | $0.350 | $2.01 | 5d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | 5d ago |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.080 | $1.04 | 5d ago |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.740 | $4.44 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6 | $0.440 | $2.64 | 5d ago |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.240 | $1.44 | 6d ago |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.220 | $1.54 | 6d ago |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 6d ago |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.200 | $1.4 | 6d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.490 | $2.94 | 6d ago |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No | buy | 6 | $0.800 | $4.8 | 6d ago |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.580 | $3.48 | 7d ago |
| French election called by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.89 | $0.054 | $1.02 | 7d ago |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.550 | $3.3 | 7d ago |