Analytics
Trading ended on 27 Sep 2026 with Yes at 8%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 55 daily closes on record from 2 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58.5% on 12 Sep 2026 and the lowest 8% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 22%; a month before, 15.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 19.5% on 6 Oct 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: Team to make College Football Playoffs”.
$4.57K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is TimeTraveler with 4.2K shares; the largest No position is BobbyBakedBeans with 1.1K.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 6:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 2 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 8.0% |
37 more markets, none above 25.0%.
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 4.16K |
| BobbyBakedBeans | No | 1.06K |
| macrosteaks | No | 740.8 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is selected to participate in the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". If the selected team does not participate in the College Football Playoffs for any reason, this market will resolve "No". If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the participating teams cannot be determined by December 20, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-make-college-football-playoffs-20260803190433067
| wallet-account-test |
| No |
| 540 |
| ABC12345654321 | No | 483.55 |
| Robbb | No | 420.01 |
| Spectrum | No | 400 |
| 0x53eCc53E7 | No | 342.65 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 163.81 |
| bananabreakfast | No | 133.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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