Analytics
Trading ended on 10 Oct 2026 with Yes at 56%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 50 daily closes on record from 2 Sep 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 87.5% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 39%; a month before, 83%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 86% on 8 Sep 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: Team to make College Football Playoffs”.
$1.15K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is TimeTraveler with 840 shares; the largest No position is ABC12345654321 with 414.
Polymarket record as of Oct 29, 2:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 50 points, 2 Sep 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 56.0% |
38 more markets, none above 24.0%.
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 839.68 |
| ABC12345654321 | No | 413.99 |
| Tiny-Sea | No | 318.41 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is selected to participate in the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". If the selected team does not participate in the College Football Playoffs for any reason, this market will resolve "No". If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the participating teams cannot be determined by December 20, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-make-college-football-playoffs-20260803190433067
| Gaditima |
| No |
| 100 |
| BobbyBakedBeans | No | 80.76 |
| colorfultortise11 | Yes | 54 |
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 50 |
| macrosteaks | No | 20 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 8 |
| emv000 | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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