Analytics
Yes is at 21%, down 29 points from 50% when the market opened on 1 Aug 2026.
Across the 84 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 3.4% on 26 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 21.7%; a month before, 9.3%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 11% on 2 Aug 2026.
It is one of 13 markets under “NCAA Football 2026 MAC Conference: Winner”.
$68.15 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.84K since listing. The order book holds $1.46K, with a 0.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 96 trades, $144.23 bought Yes and $1.34K bought No.
The largest Yes position is extractive-manatee with 492 shares; the largest No position is sweetj with 406. Ten wallets hold 96.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 20 Dec 2026, 51 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 84 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 21.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 492.02 |
| Vibrant-Dragonfly | Yes | 482.15 |
| sweetj | No | 406 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 MAC Football Championship Game, determining the champion of the Mid-American Conference for the 2026 college football season, currently scheduled for December 5, 2026. If this championship is postponed after December 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mid-American Conference (https://mac-sports.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-2026-mac-conference-winner-20260731204504697
1 more market, none above 0.7%.
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 399.9 |
| algo168 | No | 232 |
| ABC12345654321 | No | 96.2 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 83.48 |
| Gaditima | No | 66.5 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 62.72 |
| rocky42014 | Yes | 49.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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