Analytics
Yes is at 42.5%, down 4.5 points from 47% when the market opened on 9 Jul 2026.
Across the 108 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 66% on 10 Jul 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 32.5%; a month before, 30.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 43.5% on 16 Jul 2026.
It is one of 30 markets under “NBA: Team to Make Playoffs”.
$179.64 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.03K since listing. The order book holds $17.52K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 149 trades, $1.2K bought Yes and $1.05K bought No.
The largest Yes position is saninterste with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is anciano with 779. Ten wallets hold 85.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 16 May 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 108 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 47.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 42.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| saninterste | Yes | 1.06K |
| anciano | No | 778.64 |
| ndb1 | No | 657.91 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2027 NBA Playoffs per the rules of the NBA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Reaching the Play-In Tournament does not, by itself, qualify a team for the Playoffs and will not resolve this market to "Yes." A team must win its way through the Play-In into the 7-seed or 8-seed to qualify. Losing in the Play-In Tournament (or any associated tiebreaker) resolves this market to "No." If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after May 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 16-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NBA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-team-to-make-playoffs-20260708210742372
17 more markets, none above 77.5%.
| elPolloLoco |
| No |
| 481.8 |
| adalberone | No | 364.66 |
| green9 | Yes | 300 |
| FreeCityIndividual | Yes | 180 |
| Guye | Yes | 161.29 |
| PrimePenguin | Yes | 154 |
| biggiedehsh | Yes | 151.52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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