Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?

Name: Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No, settled May 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.0M

Resolved

Settled

May 15, 2026 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.96M	0.0%	$0
rdba	Yes	369.89K	2.0%	$7.52K
leotasokl2026	Yes	100K	0.1%	$100
tsihkodiives	Yes	36.03K	0.4%	$143.99
peepeepooppoop	Yes	35.08K	2.0%	$701.51
Scornful-Conductor	Yes	22.65K	0.0%	$0	May 14, 6:49 PM UTC
robotsir	Yes	22.17K	0.6%	$133
pd.unique	Yes	18.77K	2.3%	$423.88	May 14, 8:12 PM UTC
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	15.16K	2.0%	$303.14	May 14, 8:07 PM UTC
Unsteady-Shortage	Yes	11.84K	0.2%	$23.66	May 14, 8:26 PM UTC
SM21FE	Yes	10K	0.4%	$40
stevegool	Yes	7.5K	0.4%	$27.5
Jade Falcon 2704	Yes	7.2K	2.0%	$144.1
Bigggggggg	Yes	6.14K	0.0%	$0
Nuala	Yes	5.5K	0.3%	$17	May 14, 7:54 PM UTC
Cobalt Atlas EFEA	Yes	5K	0.3%	$15
Equal-Chain	Yes	4.87K	0.2%	$9.74	May 14, 7:53 PM UTC
ACara	Yes	2.9K	0.7%	$20.59
TT011NT	Yes	2.86K	0.7%	$20
smallreceipt	Yes	2.83K	0.0%	$0
graynotebook19	Yes	2.54K	0.0%	$-0	May 14, 8:07 PM UTC
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	2.51K	0.6%	$15.43
Clueless-Size	Yes	2.5K	0.4%	$10
9livez	Yes	2.5K	0.5%	$13.17
Slimy-Modeling	Yes	2.06K	2.0%	$41.21
Marvolot	Yes	2.01K	0.7%	$15
labistiiia	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2
likealovesong	Yes	2K	0.5%	$10
Shameless-Temporary	Yes	2K	0.4%	$8
pestanimal	Yes	1.8K	0.0%	$0
Albin05	Yes	1.67K	0.3%	$5
irmants	Yes	1.67K	0.6%	$10
dnsmalkin	Yes	1.67K	0.6%	$10
Decent-Pigsty	Yes	1.59K	1.3%	$20
cowcat	Yes	1.59K	2.0%	$31.74
spingallz	Yes	1.5K	1.4%	$20.99
HerrieDavis	Yes	1.37K	2.0%	$27.32
Turbulent-Decline-Router	Yes	1.36K	0.0%	$0
Powerless-Regret	Yes	1.11K	0.9%	$10
godblessme2026	Yes	1.09K	0.0%	$0
e46m3	Yes	1.01K	0.0%	$0	May 14, 3:45 PM UTC
Kent777	Yes	1K	0.5%	$5
norealtime	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Firm-Tailbud	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
sxxxo	Yes	947	0.4%	$3.79
products	Yes	895	2.0%	$17.9
mikkelrev	Yes	833.33	0.6%	$5
Indigo Tide 215D	Yes	833	0.6%	$5
CHGO	Yes	771.34	3.2%	$25
NoLoyaltyToTheBosses	Yes	730	0.0%	$0
JoE	Yes	682.57	2.0%	$13.65
yPolimarket	Yes	650	0.9%	$5.85
nikitaxce	Yes	600	0.1%	$0.6
ouiouidescs	Yes	600	0.1%	$0.6
Neon Tide D79F	Yes	540	0.3%	$1.62	May 14, 7:03 AM UTC
21stcentury	Yes	536.67	0.6%	$3.22
simplystupid188	Yes	500.75	0.6%	$3
Sooah	Yes	500	0.3%	$1.5	May 13, 12:33 PM UTC
Magnus011	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 14, 8:45 PM UTC
noid2	Yes	500	0.1%	$0.5
Pengusama	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 14, 7:56 PM UTC
DawsonQuest	Yes	500	0.4%	$2
IBSI	Yes	500	0.6%	$3
15Mins	Yes	499.96	0.8%	$4
Ardtysrt01	Yes	499.09	0.6%	$2.99
evanm20282	Yes	428.57	0.7%	$3
Plump-Deadline	Yes	400	0.5%	$2
ytr151	Yes	383.33	0.6%	$2.3
quiddy	Yes	351.3	0.0%	$0
Impartial-Connection	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Ripper4	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Raphh99	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
kaktusmaktus	Yes	333.33	0.6%	$2
Nimble-Dibble-Backbone	Yes	333.33	0.6%	$2
Lasting-Eviction	Yes	333.33	0.6%	$2
Indigo Vector 88C7	Yes	333.33	0.6%	$2
FreeCityIndividual	Yes	333	2.0%	$6.66
Allenyu2026	Yes	300	0.5%	$1.5
friendlyusername	Yes	300	0.6%	$1.8
Rowdy-Arena	Yes	300	1.0%	$3
1cc	Yes	279.37	0.8%	$2.2
GustavsRules	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Kazmcp	Yes	250	0.8%	$2
Legal-Godparent	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Neversto	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Seabstian	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
itachidfg	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
mrpropper567	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Sociable-Cooking	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
bobtherob2006	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
somclaren	Yes	246.66	0.3%	$0.74
cash-machine	Yes	240.01	2.0%	$4.8	May 14, 8:12 PM UTC
degeneratoors	Yes	232.46	0.7%	$1.63
Marvelous-Sponsorship	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Misty Pioneer AEF1	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Frank2345	Yes	189.26	0.1%	$0.19
Sunekaer	Yes	181.82	0.4%	$0.73
Joskin	Yes	179.92	0.0%	$0	May 14, 9:01 PM UTC
Other-Tailbud	Yes	170	0.6%	$1.02
a5tthsyuo3c	Yes	169.83	1.8%	$3.01
Crimson Oracle 5B87	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Eardrum0559	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
0xDC.	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
UMA-3CAM	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Azure Horizon B075	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Spotless-Kangaroo	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Leonslv	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
brodoser	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Barandaur	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
S3LFMADE	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Shady-Maybe	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
push3d	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
beetupeetu	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
needmoney4food	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Reliable-Council	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Warped-Pumpkin	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Phil233	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
MikeRosa	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
HarOs	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Dishonest-Message	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Frigyes86	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Truthful-Discharge	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Arturouvinov	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
robwol	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Aggravating-Plane	Yes	142.85	0.8%	$1.14
human.bean	Yes	142.38	1.8%	$2.56
Chatsurdeux	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
Slow-Subgroup	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
animal.bean	Yes	124.44	0.0%	$0
Amber Falcon CFF5	Yes	120	1.0%	$1.22
echoctrl	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Amazing-Riddle	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
korda77	Yes	103.99	0.0%	$0	May 14, 8:57 PM UTC
akunai	Yes	100.01	0.3%	$0.3
Rokokoraccoon	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
fm14	Yes	100	0.3%	$0.3
Limp-Senate	Yes	100	0.7%	$0.7
ma99	Yes	100	0.3%	$0.3
Tempting-Wannabe	Yes	100	0.5%	$0.5
laoyang01	Yes	100	0.6%	$0.6
GollumGekko	Yes	83.75	1.6%	$1.3
TimeTraveler	Yes	74.4	0.5%	$0.4
Beloved-Bathtub	Yes	52.5	1.2%	$0.63
crawfordfred	No	44.47	99.5%	$44.25
Bold-Minion	Yes	44.4	2.3%	$1
Spotless-Labour	Yes	44.18	2.3%	$1
Crocoflex	Yes	42.84	4.7%	$2
cry.eth2	Yes	42.31	0.0%	$0
AlexFromRussia	Yes	40	3.1%	$1.24
username-is-not-taken	Yes	36.31	0.0%	$0
abc1231112441	Yes	34	3.0%	$1.02
gazzadk1981	Yes	33.33	0.6%	$0.2
sunshine2305	Yes	28.75	3.5%	$1
plainfolder	Yes	25	0.0%	$0
PollyForge	Yes	23.01	0.0%	$0
Worst-Bassoon	Yes	20	0.2%	$0.04
letmecookibegyou	Yes	18.42	0.0%	$0
KabinaKabana	Yes	15.38	0.6%	$0.09
Crimson Ledger 2573	Yes	9	0.0%	$0
dongdong111	No	8	99.5%	$7.96
wwder	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
3umf	Yes	5	0.6%	$0.03
Insidious-Maelstrom	Yes	5	0.0%	$0
3-mil-on-tour	Yes	5	1.0%	$0.05
quietparcel	Yes	5	0.0%	$0
nepta	Yes	5	1.0%	$0.05
DeveloperAmateur	Yes	5	1.1%	$0.06
JustBot	Yes	4.11	1.6%	$0.07
NoMoreMister	Yes	3.34	1.4%	$0.05
northdrawer	Yes	2.82	1.1%	$0.03
nimanaaa	Yes	2.02	0.6%	$0.01
Vuzooni	No	2.01	99.3%	$2
Azure Quasar BBFA	No	2.01	99.5%	$2
sepolo	Yes	1.14	0.0%	$0
BuyTheDip007	Yes	1.04	2.0%	$0.02
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	0.68	0.0%	$0
shine	Yes	0.34	1.8%	$0.01
EdwardLewis	Yes	0.28	1.9%	$0.01
Laurentdepau	No	0.23	99.8%	$0.23	May 14, 1:07 PM UTC
Solar Pioneer 92A5	No	0.1	99.9%	$0.1	May 14, 11:59 PM UTC

180 of 180 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$1.96M
crawfordfred	$44.47
dongdong111	$8

Analytics