Analytics
Yes is at 91.5%, up 6 points from 85.5% when the market opened on 8 Sep 2026.
Across the 47 daily closes on record from 8 Sep 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 92.5% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 60% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 75.5%; a month before, 72.5%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 60% on 17 Oct 2026.
It is one of 13 markets under “Anthropic IPO by __?”.
$12.28K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $307.24K since listing. The order book holds $29.37K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $28.37K bought Yes and $8.89K bought No; the largest was a $3.87K sell of Yes at 70.3¢.
The largest Yes position is TheReturnOfDarthMaul with 11.9K shares; the largest No position is notssf3 with 12.2K. Ten wallets hold 45% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 16 Dec 2026, 50 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 8 Sep 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | 85.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 92.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| notssf3 | No | 12.2K |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | Yes | 11.92K |
| Ume-Chang | Yes | 7.9K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-by
1 more market, none above 0.1%.
| betwick |
| Yes |
| 5.65K |
| hypebot2 | No | 4.6K |
| Minteamade | No | 4.17K |
| legendarno | No | 4.15K |
| 0x8712 | No | 4K |
| momhotwallet | No | 3.99K |
| Fulgurator | Yes | 3.83K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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