Analytics
Yes is at 6.5%, down 14 points from 20.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 324 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (36 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25.5% on 7 Nov 2025 and the lowest 6.5% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7%; a month before, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 25.5% on 7 Nov 2025.
It is one of 17 markets under “Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?”.
$614.35 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $12.04K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 47 trades, $21.7 bought Yes and $193.15 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 55 shares; the largest No position is Krass with 100. Ten wallets hold 76.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 324 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 20.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Krass | No | 99.99 |
| S888 | No | 64.78 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 55.29 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921
4 more markets, none above 9.0%.
| 9df |
| Yes |
| 49.99 |
| randomWalkingShrimp | No | 36.16 |
| roman-16 | No | 33.33 |
| Weighty-Highway | Yes | 30.66 |
| Automatic-Encouragement | Yes | 30 |
| Frivandus | Yes | 23 |
| Aclom | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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