What is the “Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “John Fetterman out by...?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 2.6¢ and No at 97.4¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 2.6% for Yes and 97.4% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($120) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($54.26K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 62 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 84.6% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 26, 3:04 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/fetterman-out-before-2027) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? Polymarket Odds

Market referencefetterman-out-before-2027Updated 1m ago

politicsActive

Closes Dec 31, 2026 UTCpoliticstrump

Yes

2.6%

97.3%

Buy Yes 2.65¢Buy No 97.35¢

24h Volume

$120

Liquidity

$54.3K

Closes

Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Yes price

2.65¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

2.6%

97.4%

24h volume

$120

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 2.65¢

Open in terminal$120 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

4m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

0.5%

Observed

1m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

2.6%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

85%

Yes / No shares

8.35K / 8.35K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

281

Wallets

118

Loaded notional

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
brightKong	sell	Yes	2.4%	120	Sep 26, 12:06 AM UTC
Jooble	buy	Yes

John Fetterman out by...?

September 30Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?active

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “John Fetterman out by...?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 2.6¢ and No at 97.4¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 2.6% for Yes and 97.4% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($120) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($54.26K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

brightKong

sell

Yes

2.4%

120

Sep 26, 12:06 AM UTC

Jooble

buy

Yes