Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? | No | 31.39 | $0.796 | $21.81 | -$3.19 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | sell | 2.23 | $0.850 | $1.9 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 17.38 |
| $0.863 |
| $14.69 |
| -$0.32 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 13.89 | $0.720 | $11.74 | +$1.74 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 12.06 | $0.830 | $10.91 | +$0.9 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 11.12 | $0.900 | $10.45 | +$0.45 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 12.13 | $0.825 | $10.37 | +$0.37 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 11.3 | $0.885 | $10.23 | +$0.23 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10.22 | +$0.22 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 10.28 | $0.973 | $10.13 | +$0.12 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 11.36 | $0.880 | $9.77 | -$0.23 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $9.48 | -$0.52 |
 Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in September? | No | 5.9 | $0.848 | $5.01 | +$0.01 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | No | 5.38 | $0.930 | $4.92 | -$0.08 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" in September? | No | 5.62 | $0.890 | $4.83 | -$0.17 |
| Will Trump say "Antifa" in September? | No | 6.76 | $0.740 | $4.26 | -$0.74 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.951 | $4.07 | -$0.93 |
 Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | No | 5.21 | $0.960 | $3.98 | -$1.02 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.640 | $2.72 | -$1.28 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 10.2 | $0.490 | $2.7 | -$2.3 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 7.17 | $0.698 | $2.54 | -$2.46 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.29 | $0.686 | $2.52 | -$2.48 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $1.06 | -$3.94 |
 Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.925 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| sell |
| 5.88 |
| $0.860 |
| $5.06 |
| 1h ago |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.880 | $0.96 | 1h ago |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.900 | $0.96 | 1h ago |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.930 | $0.97 | 1h ago |
 US announces military base in Israel in 2026?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.780 | $4.88 | 1h ago |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 11.05 | $0.780 | $8.62 | 1h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.900 | $9.68 | 1h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | 1h ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.3 | $0.760 | $0.99 | 1h ago |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.860 | $1.08 | 1h ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No | sell | 15.19 | $0.986 | $14.98 | 1h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 17.64 | $0.977 | $17.23 | 1h ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | 1h ago |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | 1h ago |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 11.65 | $0.860 | $10.02 | 1h ago |
 Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.954 | $4.99 | 1h ago |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.870 | $4.99 | 1h ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | sell | 5.68 | $0.910 | $5.17 | 1h ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 5.89 | $0.870 | $5.12 | 1h ago |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.850 | $5.45 | 1h ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.850 | $5.1 | 1h ago |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | 1h ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 1h ago |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 1h ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | 1h ago |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.840 | $1.01 | 1h ago |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.810 | $1.02 | 1h ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.940 | $9.99 | 1h ago |
 Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.973 | $1.09 | 1h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.53 | $0.920 | $5.09 | 1h ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.953 | $10.03 | 1h ago |
 Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.920 | $9.99 | 1h ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No | sell | 10.28 | $0.981 | $10.08 | 1h ago |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.66 | $0.870 | $10.14 | 1h ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.17 | $0.890 | $5.49 | 1h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 11.13 | $0.460 | $5.12 | 1h ago |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?No | sell | 8.06 | $0.760 | $6.13 | 1h ago |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | sell | 20.55 | $0.790 | $16.23 | 1h ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.05 | $0.920 | $5.57 | 1h ago |
| Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.979 | $5.12 | 1h ago |
| Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.950 | $5.22 | 1h ago |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.890 | $5.56 | 1h ago |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.62 | $0.910 | $10.57 | 1h ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 25.96 | $0.969 | $25.16 | 1h ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | 1d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No | buy | 15.2 | $0.987 | $15 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.910 | $4 | 1d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?No | buy | 12.59 | $0.830 | $10.45 | 1d ago |