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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 8.26K | $0.465 | $4.17K | +$327.75 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 961.54 | $0.520 | $500 | 32m ago |
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| No |
| 5K |
| $0.686 |
| $3.98K |
| +$545.31 |
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 54.5K | $0.021 | $1.44K | +$299.74 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.37K | $0.752 | $1.11K | +$85.32 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 6.73K | $0.153 | $976.11 | -$54.79 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 4K | $0.142 | $540.03 | -$27.69 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 961.54 | $0.520 | $504.81 | +$4.81 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.88K | $0.284 | $442.89 | -$92.11 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 906.76 | $0.607 | $340.03 | -$209.97 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 2.17K | $0.166 | $335.99 | -$23.77 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.117 | $285 | -$65 |
Iran coup attempt by December 31? | Yes | 2.07K | $0.101 | $280.09 | +$70.82 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 476.19 | $0.420 | $257.14 | +$57.14 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.117 | $253.5 | -$96.5 |
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | No | 303.94 | $0.329 | $199.08 | +$99.08 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 2.82K | $0.226 | $138.09 | -$498.63 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 5.73K | $0.031 | $123.1 | -$55.97 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 4K | $0.037 | $104 | -$46 |
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | Yes | 291.67 | $0.240 | $83.13 | +$13.13 |
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 682.8 | $0.146 | $54.62 | -$45.38 |
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.100 | $21 | -$9 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 206.97 | $0.120 | $14.8 | -$10.04 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.51 | $0.709 | $3.17 | +$0.69 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 5K | $0.020 | $2.5 | -$97.5 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 300.95 | $0.150 | $2.26 | -$42.88 |
| buy |
| 291.67 |
| $0.240 |
| $70 |
| 2h ago |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | 3h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 1.91K | $0.525 | $1K | 3h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.611 | $797.2 | 10h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 597.01 | $0.670 | $400 | 10h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 757.58 | $0.660 | $500 | 10h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 1.36K | $0.643 | $874.92 | 12h ago |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.41K | $0.849 | $4.59K | 13h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.670 | $700 | 14h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 209.84 | $0.620 | $130 | 14h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 468.25 | $0.596 | $279.21 | 14h ago |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | 16h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.420 | $300 | 16h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 555.56 | $0.360 | $200 | 17h ago |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 1.74K | $0.860 | $1.5K | 19h ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | 1d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 21.32 | $0.400 | $8.53 | 1d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.24K | $0.402 | $500 | 1d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 894.58 | $0.480 | $429.4 | 1d ago |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Yes | sell | 164.27 | $0.325 | $53.45 | 1d ago |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.14K | $0.130 | $278.57 | 1d ago |
Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 2K | $0.860 | $1.72K | 2d ago |
Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.870 | $1.74K | 2d ago |
Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.47K | $0.027 | $40.29 | 2d ago |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.14K | $0.140 | $300 | 2d ago |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 657.89 | $0.760 | $500 | 2d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 8.58 | $0.520 | $4.46 | 2d ago |
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 899.98 | $0.481 | $433.09 | 2d ago |
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7?No | sell | 39.6 | $0.020 | $0.79 | 2d ago |
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7?No | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | 2d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 925.93 | $0.540 | $500 | 2d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 1.57K | $0.630 | $988.82 | 3d ago |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.040 | $100 | 3d ago |
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-05?Yes | sell | 227 | $0.960 | $217.92 | 3d ago |
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 227 | $0.220 | $49.94 | 3d ago |
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-05?Yes | sell | 1.69K | $0.205 | $346.68 | 3d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 434.78 | $0.690 | $300 | 3d ago |
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 1.69K | $0.590 | $1K | 3d ago |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?No | buy | 340.68 | $0.088 | $30 | 3d ago |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?Yes | sell | 881.85 | $0.200 | $176.37 | 3d ago |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?Yes | sell | 1.76K | $0.290 | $511.47 | 3d ago |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 612.85 | $0.163 | $100 | 3d ago |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.600 | $500 | 3d ago |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.600 | $500 | 3d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 434.78 | $0.690 | $300 | 3d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 4.2K | $0.666 | $2.8K | 3d ago |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.208 | $500 | 3d ago |
Will Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.380 | $100 | 4d ago |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 466.66 | $0.063 | $29.4 | 4d ago |