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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? | Yes | 259.1 | $0.650 | $173.6 | +$5.18 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Yes | sell | 149.09 | $0.148 | $22.11 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 400 |
| $0.465 |
| $154 |
| -$32 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 200.02 | $0.660 | $114.01 | -$18 |
 Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? | No | 100 | $0.879 | $85.7 | -$2.2 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 79.97 | $0.745 | $61.98 | +$2.4 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | No | 72.02 | $0.843 | $59.78 | -$0.91 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 102.22 | $0.511 | $51.62 | -$0.6 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.952 | $46.75 | -$0.85 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.88% in September? | Yes | 87.5 | $0.535 | $25.81 | -$21 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.100 | $19 | -$1 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% in September? | Yes | 20.56 | $0.640 | $9.04 | -$4.11 |
| Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30? | Yes | 50 | $0.700 | $7.75 | -$27.25 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.94% in September? | Yes | 50 | $0.340 | $7.75 | -$9.25 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 140.03 | $0.048 | $6.79 | +$0.07 |
 Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.45 | $0.920 | $3.98 | -$0.11 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September? | No | 2.99 | $0.480 | $2.25 | +$0.82 |
 Will Logan Webb lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? | Yes | 244 | $0.006 | $1.83 | +$0.37 |
 Will the Centre Party (C) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 658.06 | $0.004 | $1.65 | -$1.26 |
 Will Casey Hux win The Bachelorette Season 22? | Yes | 220.64 | $0.007 | $1.32 | -$0.23 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.610 | $1.23 | -$1.83 |
 Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? | Yes | 411.6 | $0.004 | $1.03 | -$0.52 |
 Will Gavin Sheets lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? | Yes | 150 | $0.005 | $0.98 | +$0.23 |
 Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? | Yes | 149.8 | $0.006 | $0.97 | +$0.07 |
 Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | Yes | 23.71 | $0.127 | $0.9 | -$2.11 |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | Yes | 4 | $0.204 | $0.9 | +$0.08 |
| sell |
| 302.52 |
| $0.170 |
| $51.43 |
| 1h ago |
 Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.079 | $15.8 | 2h ago |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.049 | $2.45 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 169 | $0.600 | $101.4 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 200 | $0.610 | $122 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 200 | $0.606 | $121.23 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 200 | $0.600 | $120 | 11h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.381 | $76.25 | 12h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 184.07 | $0.220 | $40.5 | 13h ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.340 | $68 | 13h ago |
 Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.505 | $101 | 13h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | 13h ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 200 | $0.800 | $159.97 | 13h ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.545 | $218 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 652.96 | $0.628 | $409.96 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 200 | $0.630 | $126 | 13h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 40 | $0.510 | $20.4 | 23h ago |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 9.58 | $0.370 | $3.54 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 184.02 | $0.460 | $84.73 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 1d ago |
| Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes | sell | 301.88 | $0.001 | $0.3 | 1d ago |
| Will Kevin Montero win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes | sell | 48.82 | $0.003 | $0.15 | 1d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?No | sell | 34.05 | $0.077 | $2.62 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 200 | $0.390 | $78.05 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.230 | $0.23 | 1d ago |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.346 | $34.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Vålerenga win Norway Eliteserien?Yes | sell | 23.09 | $0.004 | $0.09 | 2d ago |
| Will Sarpsborg 08 win Norway Eliteserien?Yes | sell | 72.68 | $0.002 | $0.15 | 2d ago |
| Will Kristiansund win Norway Eliteserien?Yes | sell | 114.13 | $0.002 | $0.22 | 2d ago |
 Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Yes | sell | 537.79 | $0.001 | $0.54 | 2d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.530 | $2.12 | 2d ago |
| Will Marcus Richardson win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes | sell | 81.1 | $0.001 | $0.12 | 2d ago |
| Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes | sell | 86.03 | $0.003 | $0.22 | 2d ago |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes | sell | 11.98 | $0.178 | $2.13 | 2d ago |
| Will Bryan Woo lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?Yes | sell | 55.12 | $0.006 | $0.36 | 2d ago |
| Will Brayan Bello lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.005 | $0.92 | 2d ago |
 Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 3.9 | $0.110 | $0.43 | 2d ago |
 Will Zequinha Marinho win the Governor of Pará election?Yes | sell | 36.04 | $0.002 | $0.07 | 2d ago |
 Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.130 | $0.65 | 2d ago |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.99 | $0.070 | $0.56 | 2d ago |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.300 | $0.83 | 2d ago |
 Will Alex Cora win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Yes | sell | 105.18 | $0.002 | $0.26 | 2d ago |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | 2d ago |