Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 499.79 | $0.893 | $452.31 | +$5.83 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 8.02 | $0.996 | $7.99 | 37m ago |
 |
| No |
| 161.94 |
| $0.910 |
| $159.92 |
| +$12.57 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 118.98 | $0.981 | $118.56 | +$1.81 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 134.69 | $0.673 | $111.12 | +$20.41 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 184.25 | $0.489 | $100.42 | +$10.31 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 184.4 | $0.518 | $82.06 | -$13.4 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 82.06 | $0.979 | $81.48 | +$1.15 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 61.7 | $0.963 | $60.07 | +$0.68 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 42.7 | $0.962 | $41.4 | +$0.31 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 40.72 | $0.936 | $38.07 | -$0.04 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 26.26 | $0.992 | $26.06 | +$0.01 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.59 | $0.929 | $20.42 | +$0.36 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 16.5 | $0.940 | $15.76 | +$0.25 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 13.4 | $0.900 | $12.66 | +$0.6 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 625 | $0.012 | $11.25 | +$3.75 |
| Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | No | 11.38 | $0.981 | $11.14 | -$0.02 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.5 | $0.880 | $8.22 | -$0.14 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | No | 7.68 | $0.970 | $7.53 | +$0.08 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 6.27 | $0.890 | $5.61 | +$0.03 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 6 | $0.880 | $5.01 | -$0.27 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 10.11 | $0.530 | $4.7 | -$0.66 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | 3.51 | $0.900 | $3.34 | +$0.18 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.86 | $0.830 | $2.44 | +$0.07 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 560 | $0.007 | $1.4 | -$2.52 |
 Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 510 | $0.003 | $1.28 | -$0.25 |
| buy |
| 11.38 |
| $0.981 |
| $11.16 |
| 3h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 20.99 | $0.996 | $20.91 | 4h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.890 | $5.58 | 4h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 43.07 | $0.996 | $42.9 | 4h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.540 | $15.12 | 15h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.470 | $13.16 | 15h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 26.25 | $0.992 | $26.04 | 18h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 25.01 | $0.995 | $24.88 | 18h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.540 | $15.66 | 18h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 29.4 | $0.450 | $13.23 | 18h ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 16.54 | $0.993 | $16.42 | 21h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 6.13 | $0.996 | $6.11 | 23h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.996 | $12.45 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.996 | $7.47 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 14.57 | $0.996 | $14.51 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 10.89 | $0.996 | $10.85 | 1d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.59 | $0.929 | $20.06 | 5d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 15.69 | $0.989 | $15.52 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 40 | $0.998 | $39.92 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 51.25 | $0.520 | $26.65 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.490 | $24.99 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 40 | $0.999 | $39.96 | 5d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.975 | $5.07 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 76.27 | $0.993 | $75.74 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.580 | $44.08 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.430 | $32.68 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 40.2 | $0.994 | $39.96 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 26.03 | $0.994 | $25.87 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.994 | $9.99 | 7d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.880 | $5.28 | 8d ago |
 Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?No | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | 8d ago |
 Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | 8d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.13 | $0.978 | $10.89 | 8d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.900 | $5.22 | 9d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.993 | $11.94 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 12.74 | $0.973 | $12.4 | 9d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.997 | $4.99 | 9d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.997 | $14.97 | 9d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.963 | $8.33 | 9d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.989 | $8.91 | 9d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.962 | $5.07 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 13.4 | $0.900 | $12.06 | 10d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.66 | $0.933 | $19.27 | 10d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.900 | $6.21 | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?No | buy | 20.03 | $0.998 | $19.98 | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.997 | $9.99 | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.5 | $0.880 | $8.36 | 10d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 28.78 | $0.962 | $27.69 | 10d ago |