What is the “DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on May 31, 2025 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model by DeepSeek has a higher arena score than all OpenAI models on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by May 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the arena score must be higher - if it ties with the best OpenAI arena score it will not count. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($51.91K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$14.59K
No buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Jun 1, 12:00 AM UTC
Vultax loaded 27 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 95.4% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 20, 1:55 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/deepseek-better-than-all-openai-models-before-june) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
