Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.48 | $0.410 | $1.02 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.49 |
| $0.430 |
| $1.07 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.57 | $0.746 | $3.41 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 4.58 | $0.747 | $3.42 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 6.15 | $0.582 | $3.58 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 6.16 | $0.583 | $3.59 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.52 | $0.275 | $1.24 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.53 | $0.274 | $1.24 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 3.66 | $0.380 | $1.39 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 3.67 | $0.390 | $1.43 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 7.92 | $0.490 | $3.88 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 7.92 | $0.500 | $3.96 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 5.41 | $0.478 | $2.59 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.480 | $2.6 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.24 | $0.640 | $2.71 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.25 | $0.690 | $2.93 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?No | sell | 6.95 | $0.584 | $4.06 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?No | buy | 6.96 | $0.595 | $4.14 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.76 | $0.710 | $1.25 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.730 | $1.29 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No | sell | 3.24 | $0.730 | $2.37 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No | buy | 3.24 | $0.750 | $2.43 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No | sell | 2.76 | $0.730 | $2.01 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No | buy | 2.76 | $0.750 | $2.07 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 5.27 | $0.617 | $3.25 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?No | sell | 2.14 | $0.480 | $1.03 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.490 | $1.05 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 5.28 | $0.629 | $3.32 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?No | sell | 3.34 | $0.280 | $0.94 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?No | buy | 3.34 | $0.320 | $1.07 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 4.68 | $0.461 | $2.16 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 4.68 | $0.470 | $2.2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2.83 | $0.410 | $1.16 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2.84 | $0.430 | $1.22 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | sell | 5.82 | $0.270 | $1.57 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 5.82 | $0.280 | $1.63 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on May 23?Yes | sell | 5.23 | $0.270 | $1.41 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on May 23?Yes | buy | 5.23 | $0.300 | $1.57 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.520 | $2.61 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.530 | $2.66 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes | sell | 6.95 | $0.680 | $4.73 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes | buy | 6.96 | $0.700 | $4.87 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will NDP win 9 or less seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes | sell | 4.94 | $0.650 | $3.21 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will NDP win 9 or less seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes | buy | 4.94 | $0.670 | $3.31 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 5.4 | $0.320 | $1.73 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 5.39 | $0.330 | $1.78 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 6.31 | $0.620 | $3.91 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.630 | $3.98 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?No | sell | 3.96 | $0.250 | $0.99 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.260 | $1.03 | Mar 30, 2025 |