Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.998 | $1.16 | May 30, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.68 |
| $0.999 |
| $1.68 |
| May 30, 2025 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.999 | $1.18 | May 30, 2025 |
 Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.997 | $1.28 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.996 | $1.76 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.999 | $1.49 | May 30, 2025 |
 China-EU trade deal before June?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.995 | $1.27 | May 30, 2025 |
 House passes bill banning Chinese student visas before June?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.998 | $1.46 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will USDC grow more than USDT in May?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.999 | $1.05 | May 30, 2025 |
| House passes bill banning Chinese student visas before June?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Belarus start mining Bitcoin before June?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.999 | $1.98 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.005 | $0.01 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.012 | $0.01 | May 6, 2025 |
 US defaults on debt in 2025?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.950 | $1.03 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.08ºC in April 2025?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.995 | $1.23 | May 6, 2025 |
 New Pope announced by May 31?No | sell | 93.07 | $0.018 | $1.68 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.17ºC in April 2025?Yes | sell | 1.98 | $0.993 | $1.97 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 478.82 | $0.967 | $463.22 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 478.83 | $0.973 | $465.8 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 404.8 | $0.997 | $403.59 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 404.81 | $0.998 | $404 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 442.87 | $0.994 | $440.21 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 442.87 | $0.995 | $440.66 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 407.87 | $0.998 | $407.05 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 407.88 | $0.999 | $407.47 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 496.74 | $0.995 | $494.26 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 496.74 | $0.998 | $495.75 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will the Left Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No | sell | 304.91 | $0.998 | $304.3 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will the Left Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No | buy | 304.91 | $0.999 | $304.61 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 370.95 | $0.996 | $369.47 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 370.95 | $0.997 | $369.84 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 393.01 | $0.995 | $391.04 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 393.02 | $0.997 | $391.84 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 391.84 | $0.994 | $389.49 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 391.85 | $0.995 | $389.89 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 305.4 | $0.997 | $304.48 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 305.4 | $0.998 | $304.79 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.969 | $1.65 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.969 | $1.14 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.930 | $1.26 | May 1, 2025 |
 Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in April?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.998 | $1.68 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.17ºC in April 2025?Yes | buy | 1.99 | $0.957 | $1.9 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.08ºC in April 2025?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.999 | $1.24 | May 1, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before May?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.999 | $1.63 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Ontario cut off electricity to the US before May?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | May 1, 2025 |
| US defaults on debt in 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.960 | $1.04 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| New Pope announced by May 31?No | buy | 93.08 | $0.013 | $1.21 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 157.82 | $0.440 | $69.44 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 157.82 | $0.450 | $71.02 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 126.8 | $0.660 | $83.69 | Apr 16, 2025 |