Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lebron announce trade or trade request Tuesday?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.019 | $20.96 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 290.27 |
| $0.031 |
| $8.91 |
| May 26, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.020 | $30 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 679.77 | $0.022 | $15 | May 26, 2025 |
| DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?Yes | buy | 903.08 | $0.028 | $25 | May 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | sell | 108.69 | $0.720 | $78.26 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before April?Yes | sell | 687.7 | $0.007 | $5.06 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before April?Yes | sell | 687.69 | $0.015 | $10.38 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before April?Yes | buy | 713 | $0.042 | $30 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before April?Yes | buy | 662.4 | $0.023 | $15 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 33.55 | $0.780 | $26.17 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut Medicaid before July?No | sell | 65.78 | $0.720 | $47.36 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?No | buy | 37.68 | $0.530 | $19.97 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 33.55 | $0.600 | $20.13 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump cut Medicaid before July?No | buy | 65.79 | $0.380 | $25 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 190.55 | $0.210 | $40 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104No | buy | 29.17 | $0.240 | $7 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.010 | $20 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4Yes | buy | 113.33 | $0.044 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.023 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4Yes | buy | 5K | $0.005 | $25 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala wins 276-262 - PA, NV, MI, WIYes | buy | 103.4 | $0.097 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the AP call the election on November 5?Yes | buy | 109.09 | $0.110 | $12 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.250 | $187.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will there be a 269-269 tie in Electoral College?Yes | sell | 541.7 | $0.023 | $12.68 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 22.14 | $0.710 | $15.72 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.280 | $14 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will there be a 269-269 tie in Electoral College?Yes | buy | 541.7 | $0.046 | $25 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Abortion" 3 or more times on Call Her Daddy?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Tampon" on Call Her Daddy?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "weird "or "weirdo" on Call Her Daddy?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.135 | $15 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 11?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.027 | $10 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 0.5-0.9 on Oct 11?Yes | buy | 630.68 | $0.016 | $10 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Oct 11?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.007 | $10 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump drop out of presidential race?Yes | sell | 5.99K | $0.018 | $106.72 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.090 | $101.78 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| Will Trump drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 429.47 | $0.038 | $16.32 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Kamala lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Oct 4?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.032 | $5 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 4?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.014 | $10 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump lead in RCP on Sept 27?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Sept 27?Yes | buy | 2.52K | $0.004 | $10 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will Trump drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 5.56K | $0.036 | $200 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 433.85 | $0.130 | $56.4 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Dallas Mavericks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?Yes | buy | 113.25 | $0.040 | $4.53 | Jun 15, 2024 |
 Will the Mavericks win the 2024 NBA Finals 4-3?Yes | buy | 225 | $0.039 | $8.78 | Jun 15, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.190 | $10.26 | Jun 15, 2024 |