- What is the “Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Claude 6 released by...?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- Right now Yes trades at 61.0¢ and No at 39.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 61.0% for Yes and 39.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Jun 30, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 6 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Claude" and be designated as version 6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Any of Anthropic's general-purpose model families qualifies, including Fable, Opus, Sonnet, Haiku, or a successor general-purpose family, provided the version designation of 6 or higher…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($40) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($5.76K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
