Latest trade
Sep 22, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 9:58 AM UTC.
Analytics
ShiverMeTimbers has made $5.03K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 31 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2024-12-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 22, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 9:58 AM UTC.
$50 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 39 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Aug 30, 2024 UTC to Sep 22, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.210 | $50 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2024-12-18 01:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 09:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 09:58 UTC
polymarket positions
32 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2024-12-18 01:03 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $6.97K and losing ones cost $555.99 across 31 settled positions. 35.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.13K on “Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $70 on “Fed rate cut by September 18?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Sep 2025. It has traded 50 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 1.11K |
| $0.045 |
| $50 |
| Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.050 | $100 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.094 | $100 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 423.71 | $0.236 | $100 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.33K | $0.006 | $50 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.100 | $200 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | sell | 214.87 | $0.240 | $51.57 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseNo | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.420 | $105 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.900 | $450 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.950 | $950 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?Yes | sell | 714.28 | $0.510 | $364.28 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.97K | $0.988 | $2.93K | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5.66K | $0.986 | $5.58K | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.74K | $0.253 | $945 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.300 | $150 | Oct 30, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.420 | $420 | Oct 30, 2024 UTC |
 Mark Zuckerberg out as Facebook CEO in 2024?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.055 | $22 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
 Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in September?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.028 | $30 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.090 | $50 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.030 | $30 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.005 | $20 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?No | buy | 833.33 | $0.024 | $20 | Sep 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala say "Artificial Intelligence" at debate?Yes | buy | 75.11 | $0.399 | $30 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala say "DEI" at debate?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.060 | $50 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala say "inflation" at debate?No | buy | 196.29 | $0.153 | $30 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala say "abortion" at debate?No | buy | 343.69 | $0.145 | $50 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Epstein" at debate?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.048 | $10 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?No | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | Sep 10, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "fake news" at debate?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.330 | $30 | Sep 8, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.470 | $50 | Sep 8, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Elon Musk" at debate?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Sep 8, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" at debate?Yes | buy | 408.16 | $0.049 | $20 | Sep 8, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "McDonald's" at debate?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Sep 8, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.120 | $30 | Sep 8, 2024 UTC |
 Robin DiAngelo out as Washington professor by Sept 6?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Sep 3, 2024 UTC |
| Mark Zuckerberg out as Facebook CEO in 2024?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Sep 3, 2024 UTC |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Sep 3, 2024 UTC |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.150 | $50 | Sep 3, 2024 UTC |
| GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Yes | buy | 688.69 | $0.029 | $20 | Sep 3, 2024 UTC |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.034 | $40 | Sep 3, 2024 UTC |
| GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Aug 30, 2024 UTC |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | buy | 214.87 | $0.047 | $10 | Aug 30, 2024 UTC |
| GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Aug 30, 2024 UTC |
| GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.021 | $10 | Aug 30, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.