Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.900 | $1.02 | May 1, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.88 |
| $0.660 |
| $1.9 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.999 | $1.03 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.670 | $0.8 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.94 | $0.680 | $1.32 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.920 | $1.21 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.056 | $0.93 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by December 31?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.840 | $2.89 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.966 | $1.01 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's November 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.962 | $2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | sell | 4.47 | $0.470 | $2.1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.060 | $0.26 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.869 | $4 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-10-18?Yes | buy | 4.94 | $0.810 | $4 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No | sell | 8.91 | $0.939 | $8.37 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No | buy | 8.92 | $0.913 | $8.14 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-10-18?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 15.78 | $0.400 | $6.31 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-10-18?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.380 | $6 | Oct 13, 2025 |