Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 22.5%. Yes opened at 76.5% on 10 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 293 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2025 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 77.5% on 29 Mar 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 28 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 37% on 14 Nov 2025. $515.11K traded over the market's life.
384 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 11:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 293 points, 10 Jun 2025 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2025 | 76.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 77.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hkmp5 | Yes | 4.52K |
| Tobias1909 | Yes | 4.05K |
| Lunar Comet 6678 | Yes | 2.5K |
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-which-countries-qualify
| bolt9ra | Yes | 2.38K |
| mk46 | Yes | 1.5K |
| Chombolo22 | Yes | 1.33K |
| many | Yes | 1.18K |
| Automatic-Anesthesiology | Yes | 1.02K |
| DCABC | Yes | 1K |
| spmgb | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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