Latest trade
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 10:16 AM UTC.
Stable-Armament is down $388.58K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 10:16 AM UTC.
$40.03 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 14 markets; 84.0% were buys. They run from Oct 15, 2026 UTC to Oct 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 64.65K | $0.773 | $50.75K | +$743.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cowboys vs. PackersCowboys | buy | 27.42K | $0.520 | $14.26K | 5d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-18 22:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
16 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 10:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 10:16 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-18 22:40 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.02M and losing ones cost $304.52K across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $164.48K on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $44.98K on “Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs” (Spirit).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Oct 2026. It has traded 779 markets. Its open positions are worth $96.41K across 16 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 61.67K |
| $0.324 |
| $16.34K |
| -$3.66K |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 173.64K | $0.059 | $9.12K | -$1.18K |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 132.71K | $0.028 | $3.65K | -$131.78 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 173.52K | $0.016 | $3.21K | +$347.56 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 9.28K | $0.339 | $3.2K | +$52.59 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 274.41K | $0.009 | $2.88K | +$370.78 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.73K | $0.504 | $2.09K | -$1.31K |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.45K | $0.145 | $1.25K | +$163.36 |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 88.15K | $0.015 | $1.19K | -$132.13 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.52K | $0.024 | $855.02 | +$255.23 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20.33K | $0.025 | $620.01 | +$111.83 |
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.83K | $0.420 | $466.74 | -$302.86 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18.46K | $0.011 | $396.91 | +$194.57 |
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.27K | $0.342 | $368.97 | -$66.78 |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.14K | $0.033 | $24.45 | -$12.72 |
| sell |
| 16.47K |
| $0.870 |
| $14.33K |
| 5d ago |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsBetBoom Team | buy | 49.67K | $0.403 | $20K | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 23.7K | $0.860 | $20.38K | 5d ago |
Cowboys vs. PackersCowboys | buy | 48K | $0.500 | $24K | 5d ago |
Panthers vs. EaglesEagles | buy | 47.62K | $0.420 | $20K | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 23.59K | $0.860 | $20.29K | 5d ago |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 61.67K | $0.324 | $20K | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 23.58K | $0.860 | $20.28K | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 9.71K | $0.860 | $8.35K | 5d ago |
Texans vs. JaguarsTexans | buy | 24.72K | $0.440 | $10.88K | 5d ago |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsTeam Falcons | buy | 39.2K | $0.580 | $22.74K | 5d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 26.93K | $0.841 | $22.66K | 5d ago |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsAurora Gaming | buy | 52.08K | $0.480 | $25K | 6d ago |
Washington vs. PurdueWashington | buy | 24.39K | $0.410 | $10K | 7d ago |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 40.54K | $0.290 | $11.76K | 7d ago |
Memphis vs. TulaneMemphis | buy | 44.7K | $0.690 | $30.84K | 7d ago |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 30.4K | $0.900 | $27.36K | 7d ago |
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z | buy | 25.31K | $0.610 | $15.44K | 8d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 14.34 | $0.430 | $6.17 | 8d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 13.75K | $0.430 | $5.91K | 8d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 16.31K | $0.450 | $7.34K | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 10.64 | $0.450 | $4.79 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 88.98 | $0.450 | $40.04 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 88.95 | $0.450 | $40.03 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 3.45 | $0.450 | $1.55 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 17.61 | $0.450 | $7.92 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 7.2 | $0.450 | $3.24 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 3.45 | $0.450 | $1.55 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 68.16 | $0.450 | $30.67 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 1.96 | $0.450 | $0.88 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 3.38 | $0.450 | $1.52 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 16.98 | $0.450 | $7.64 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 18 | $0.450 | $8.1 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 18.69 | $0.450 | $8.41 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 88.98 | $0.450 | $40.04 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 88.95 | $0.450 | $40.03 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 1.82 | $0.450 | $0.82 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 17 | $0.450 | $7.65 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 54.35 | $0.450 | $24.46 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 10.67 | $0.450 | $4.8 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 10.8 | $0.450 | $4.86 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 10.49 | $0.450 | $4.72 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 5.31 | $0.450 | $2.39 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 5.25 | $0.450 | $2.36 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 5.33 | $0.450 | $2.4 | 9d ago |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group BLegacy | buy | 210.38 | $0.450 | $94.67 | 9d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.