Analytics
Stable-Armament is down $388.58K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 64.65K | $0.773 | $52.69K | +$2.68K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-18 22:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
16 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 19:51 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 19:51 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-18 22:40 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.02M and losing ones cost $304.52K across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $164.48K on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $44.98K on “Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs” (Spirit).
It has traded 779 markets. Its open positions are worth $99.24K across 16 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 61.67K |
| $0.324 |
| $16.96K |
| -$3.04K |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 173.64K | $0.059 | $9.12K | -$1.18K |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 132.71K | $0.028 | $3.65K | -$131.78 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 173.52K | $0.016 | $3.56K | +$694.59 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 9.28K | $0.339 | $3.29K | +$145.36 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 274.41K | $0.009 | $2.88K | +$370.78 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.73K | $0.504 | $2.12K | -$1.28K |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.45K | $0.145 | $1.25K | +$163.36 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 88.15K | $0.015 | $1.01K | -$308.43 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.52K | $0.024 | $855.02 | +$255.23 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20.33K | $0.025 | $599.69 | +$91.5 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.83K | $0.420 | $466.74 | -$302.86 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18.46K | $0.011 | $396.91 | +$194.57 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.27K | $0.342 | $362.61 | -$73.14 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.14K | $0.033 | $24.45 | -$12.72 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
